Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 5
Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals are set to face off against Garrett Crochet and the Boston Red Sox this Tuesday at Fenway Park. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p. alyssa valdez and kieferm. donnie ahas nietes net worth ET. The Red Sox are favored with a moneyline of -249 against the Royals, who are at +202. Boston is also the favorite on the run line at -1.5, while the over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs.
Game Information & Odds
When: Tuesday, August 5, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSKC
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total Over | Total Odds Under | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -249 | +202 | 7.5 | -117 | -1.5 | -119 | -101 |
Prediction
Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Royals 3
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Winning Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Royals 43%
Betting Insights
The Red Sox have clinched victory in 41 out of 68 games as the favorite this season, amounting to a win rate of 60.3%. They have played six games favored at -249 or more, winning five of those. According to sportsbooks, they have a projected 71.3% chance to win.
On the other hand, the Royals have won only 32 out of 69 contests where they were odds-on underdogs, resulting in a 46.4% win rate. This season, Kansas City was listed as an underdog of +202 or more on two occasions but lost both games. Their implied victory probability for this matchup stands at 33.1% based on the moneyline.
Red Sox Recent Form
The Red Sox have performed well recently, winning four out of five games in which they were moneyline favorites. Notably, over the last 10 games, the team and their opponents have gone over the set run total four times. Against the spread, Boston has seen success, going 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| Home Runs | 12 |
| ERA | 2.90 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Red Sox Player Insights
Jarren Duran has been exceptional this season, leading the Red Sox with a .328 OBP, . baybay boulevard borongan city msc finals462 slugging percentage, and 118 hits. He currently ranks 113th in MLB for home runs and 31st for RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela is another standout with a .267 batting average and is aiming for his fourth consecutive game hitting streak. Trevor Story leads the team with 69 RBIs and is on a six-game hitting streak, batting .306 over his last 10 games.
Royals Recent Form
Recently, the Royals have struggled but have managed to secure two wins out of five when playing as underdogs in their last ten games. They have gone over the set total in six of their last ten games, scoring consistently. Against the spread, Kansas City has won six of its last 10 games.
Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| Home Runs | 14 |
| ERA | 4. magic vs nets25 |
| K/9 | 6.7 |
Royals Player Insights
Bobby Witt Jr. has been impressive, hitting .287 with 37 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs, and 37 walks. He ranks 64th in homers and 31st in RBIs in the league. Maikel Garcia, leading the lineup with a batting average of .298, sits 125th for homers and 83rd for RBIs this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has also made an impact with a team-high 67 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has contributed 20 home runs.
What do you think will be the outcome of this matchup between the Red Sox and the Royals?
